By accurately identifying and interpreting this pattern, traders can enhance their trading decisions. However, it’s important to be mindful of false signals, market conditions, and the need for additional analysis. Utilizing the pattern in conjunction with other indicators can strengthen trading signals. Overall, the cup-and-handle pattern provides insights into potential trading opportunities and continuation of bullish trends. For example, a trader could purchase a call option with a strike price near the breakout level, which provides the right but not the obligation to buy the stock at that price.
If the pattern is successful, there’s a good chance for another breakout after the stock passes the cup’s previous high. The round shape indicates consolidation, and that’s a good thing. If the cup is in a V-shape, the reversal will be too sharp of a movement. Remember what I said earlier about O’Neill — the man who made the cup and handle pattern famous? The heavy support level can potentially improve the odds of the price moving higher after a breakout.
While the price is expected to rise after a cup and handle pattern, there is no guarantee. The price could increase slightly and then fall; it could move sideways or fall right after entry. That means the asset’s price, which is trending lower to form the handle, should not drop to level of the lower half of the cup. Ideally, the price should stay within the top 1/3rd of the height of the cup. After the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right side — which forms the handle. Cup and handle chart patterns can last anywhere from seven to 65 weeks.
The stop-loss controls risk on the trade by selling the position if the price declines enough to invalidate the pattern. After completing the cup pattern, a trading range develops on the right side and the handle is formed. When price breaks out of the handle’s trading range, it signals a continuation of the prior trend.
Moreover, you should closely monitor the volume as the breakouts with low volume are less likely to sustain. You may also confirm the strength of breakout based on other technical parameters. The projected target from the breakout is usually the vertical distance from the high to the bottom how to pick a stock of the cup. The minimum target shown by a vertical blue line (distance from high to bottom of the cup) was achieved in less than a year’s time. A financial professional will offer guidance based on the information provided and offer a no-obligation call to better understand your situation.
REEMF started one in April of 2019 and went all the way to the end of May before spiking up. After they exit, the stock can consolidate to form the base until it runs again. This happens when traders and investors stop selling shares and shift back into buying mode. After the initial stock runup of the pattern, the price drops as investors sell their shares. ✅This pattern is not as popular among traders as “Head and Shoulders”, “Double Top” and other classic patterns of technical analysis.
This means for every 100 trades, a trader wins 49 trades making 2.5 units (122.5 units total) and loses 51 trades losing 1 unit (51 units total). Therefore, over 100 trades, a trader should hypothetically net 71.5 units (122.5 units – 51 units). Be aware that past performance is not indicative of future trade results. A cup & handle pattern long timeframe example is shown on the weekly Soybean futures chart above. The futures price coiled up within the pattern’s price range before breaking out.
The market’s interaction of supply and demand forces results in the formation of patterns. Different timescales, such as daily, weekly, or monthly charts, may show these patterns. These patterns are investigated by traders and analysts in order to spot prospective trading opportunities. Many trading algorithms have the capability to identify stock chart patterns, including the cup and handle. However, manual oversight is advisable for nuanced decision-making.
This can be used in both ways; as a reversal pattern or a continuous pattern. When an inverted cup and handle pattern is formed during a downtrend. Whereas, when an inverted cup and handle pattern is formed in an uptrend, it is https://bigbostrade.com/ an indication of a trend reversal. After the formation of the pattern, the breakout point often leads to a downtrend in such situations. In conclusion, understanding the cup-and-handle pattern is a valuable tool for traders.
The smaller the pullback, the better is the strength of the formation and higher the possibility of breakout. The handle is usually the pullback from the higher end of the cup which may be rounding, triangle or a descending channel. Usually the pullback is about 1/3rd of the size of prior advance. For a more in-depth read about double tops and double bottoms, check out our article on divergence trading strategies. The cup-and-handle pattern is just one of these and should not be used in isolation. Volume confirmation is key when trying to identify a stock that is ready to break out.
Eventually, the stock finds a floor of support for weeks or longer before climbing again. It starts when a stock’s price runs up at least 30% … This uptrend must happen before the cup base’s construction. By learning to recognize them in real time, traders can limit their risks by determining the best points for entry and exit. From the chart, you can see that the price formed a cup between June and October 1999. By November, it has formed a handle and eventually broke above the handle. First, we want to write that the cup and handle pattern is also called cup WITH handle pattern.
To be valid, a cup and handle pattern must meet specific size criteria. The cup should take no less than 7 weeks to form, and the handle should take at least 1 week. That recovery swing may end at the old high or exceed it by a few points and then reverse, adding downside fuel because it traps two groups of buyers. First, longs entering deep in the pattern get nervous because they were betting on a breakout that fails. At the same time, longs chasing the breakout watch a small profit evaporate and are forced to defend positions.
Sometimes, the left side of the cup is a different height than the right. Use the smaller height and add it to the breakout point for a conservative target. You’ve identified a cup and handle pattern, but before you jump into the trade, you must wait for a handle to form completely. The handle often takes the form of a sideways or descending channel or a triangle pattern. When the price breaks out of the handle, the pattern is considered complete, and the price is expected to rise. Chart patterns, like a triangle, rectangle, head and shoulders, or—in this case—a cup and handle are a visual way to trade.
It is similar to the situation when a lion takes two steps backward just to jump higher the next minute. This pattern can be used in both forms; as a reversal pattern or as a continuous pattern. In the downtrend, cup, and handle patterns work as a trend reversal pattern. As its name suggests, the cup and handle resembles the shape of a teacup and its handle. The cup has a “U” shaped pattern made by consecutive lows followed by consecutive highs in the candlestick chart. The inverted “cup and handle” is the opposite of the regular cup and handle.
Also be sure to use technical indicators and other tools to confirm the validity of the breakout. The breakout should ideally occur on higher than average trading volume. This confirms that there is significant buying pressure behind the move. However, make sure to use other technical indicators such as volume to confirm. The depth of the cup from the bottom to the rim should be measured, then projected upward from the breakout point.